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A comment on Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency. Parent comment

Re:Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency by delecti on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @05:47PM (#42070757)
That was one poll which was wildly out of line with all other polls.

All of the polls had Trump ahead there. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general... (No intended endorsement of 538, they're just a convenient list of polls)

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Re:Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency by codexb on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @07:51PM (#42071983)
There were a large number of “herded” polls that basically all predicted the exact same results as 2016 and 2020 (Trump +5/+8).

So, not really even within the margin of error. There weren’t any predicting +15.

And the high quality polls that didn’t attempt to synthesize results to match past results were even more wrong.

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