Re:Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency
by ecshafer on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @03:48PM
(#42069122)
Fair enough. Nate Silver was predicting a toss up, but was upfront that the model uses many simulations. Since the GP mentioned Nate Silver, I mistakenly took your comment about 538 as disagreeing with that since Silver did used to run 538.
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Re:Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency
by joelthelion on Thursday November 07, 2024 @03:04AM
(#42074600)
Silver's predictions were extremely close to 538's. He predicted a toss up (50-50% chance of Harris or Trump winning the presidency), but many of his simulations were not particularly close.