Re:Former President Trump is projected to win the presidency
by kgwgk on Wednesday November 06, 2024 @04:14PM
(#42069497)
> they said Clinton had a 70% chance of winning.
No, they didn't.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential...
https://www.reuters.com/article/world/clinton-has-90-percent...
For one, they said Clinton had a 70% chance of winning.
But perhaps more importantly, people's poor understanding of stats meant that many people interpreted that as "She's going to get 70% of the vote" (i.e., a landslide, "and so I don't need to vote").