Re:Money-Laundering Practices in the Online Scam Industry
by s1artibartfast on Friday September 27, 2024 @06:16PM
(#41676082)
My point is that the law doesn't actually look at situational risk or recklessness. It is a rough heuristic to approximate it. Im not even necessarily arguing against it, but highlighting the common conflation between harm, actual risk, and heuristically approximated risk.
A cop or the law makes no pretension of trying to evaluate if a driver actually put someone at risk in a given scenario. A judge doesn't care if you were alone on the road or how far you were going. A judge doesn't even care if the car is on or moving.
>alcohol is a leading cause of vehicle related deaths and there are quite a few of them every year. It seem problematic to argue that these laws aren’t based on actual facts and real danger when both are well documented.
I would say there is little systemic logic to the rate and severity of penalties. In 33% of pedestrian fatalities, the pedestrian was drunk. In 16%, the driver was drunk.[1]
Similarly, the common DUI threshold is 0.08 BAC.
Being awake for 17 hours (working late) is similar to having a BAC of 0.05%. [2]
Being awake for 24 hours (working a double shift) is similar to having a BAC of 0.10%
Simply talking on a phone while driving has been shown to be similar to a BAC of 0.08%.
Texting while driving is equivalent to a BAC of 0.19%! [3]
The fine for texting while driving starts $20, but the total cost can be over $162 due to court costs.
>The same could be said about almost every kind of harm you can think of. It’s unclear what someone is supposed to take from this statement.
Im just making the point that we we criminalize isnt as clear cut as one might think, and people often conflate actual harm, actual risk, and heuristically approximated risk.
More generally, I think the intersection with probability and criminal justice is fascinating, particularly the criminalizing risk factors. e.g. if we took a similar approach, what percent confidence would we need that someone will commit murder to preemptively lock them up based on risk.
A cop or the law makes no pretension of trying to evaluate if a driver actually put someone at risk in a given scenario. A judge doesn't care if you were alone on the road or how far you were going. A judge doesn't even care if the car is on or moving.
>alcohol is a leading cause of vehicle related deaths and there are quite a few of them every year. It seem problematic to argue that these laws aren’t based on actual facts and real danger when both are well documented.
I would say there is little systemic logic to the rate and severity of penalties. In 33% of pedestrian fatalities, the pedestrian was drunk. In 16%, the driver was drunk.[1]
Similarly, the common DUI threshold is 0.08 BAC.
Being awake for 17 hours (working late) is similar to having a BAC of 0.05%. [2]
Being awake for 24 hours (working a double shift) is similar to having a BAC of 0.10%
Simply talking on a phone while driving has been shown to be similar to a BAC of 0.08%.
Texting while driving is equivalent to a BAC of 0.19%! [3]
The fine for texting while driving starts $20, but the total cost can be over $162 due to court costs.
>The same could be said about almost every kind of harm you can think of. It’s unclear what someone is supposed to take from this statement.
Im just making the point that we we criminalize isnt as clear cut as one might think, and people often conflate actual harm, actual risk, and heuristically approximated risk.
More generally, I think the intersection with probability and criminal justice is fascinating, particularly the criminalizing risk factors. e.g. if we took a similar approach, what percent confidence would we need that someone will commit murder to preemptively lock them up based on risk.
https://www.ghsa.org/sites/default/files/2020-02/GHSA-Pedest...
https://www.cdc.gov/niosh/work-hour-training-for-nurses/long... https://facilities.uw.edu/blog/posts/2016/07/26/texting-and-...