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Re:Three Mile Island nuclear plant restart in Microsoft AI p... by JumpCrisscross on Friday September 20, 2024 @05:19PM (#41605612)
> We know the probability that the sun stops shining and the wind stops blowing for N days, we can calculate it from historical data

We absolutely do not have long-term climate models with that sort of accuracy.

Re:Three Mile Island nuclear plant restart in Microsoft AI p... by scoofy on Friday September 20, 2024 @05:36PM (#41605720)
We also only have probability distributions, and with all probability distributions, the existence of very bad luck hangs out in the tails.