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Re:The EV evolution is going to take longer than we thought by onlyrealcuzzo on Sunday September 01, 2024 @09:58PM (#41421986)
> New coal construction is pretty easy to measure relative to emissions, and is a leading indicator suggesting future emissions are coming.

It's not that simple.

* The power plants are running at lower capacities: https://www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/china-coal-plants

* Not all coal is equal. High-volatile bituminous coals have ~5% less emissions: https://gaftp.epa.gov/ap42/ch01/s01/reference/ref_77%20c01s0...

* Some of the new plants are "clean" (not actually clean, but produce less emissions): https://globalenergyprize.org/en/2024/03/29/china-remains-wo...

* You can build newer, more efficient coal power plants (~45%) which slightly reduce the amount of coal you need to burn at older, less efficient coal power plants (~33%): https://www.google.com/search?q=how+efficient+are+newer+coal...

* ~5% of the new additions replaced retirements.

Re:The EV evolution is going to take longer than we thought by lolinder on Monday September 02, 2024 @07:48AM (#41424629)
Even factoring all that in, building that much new coal is a leading indicator for emissions. It just might be less emissions than building that much new coal two decades ago would have been.