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Re:Devaluation is austerity done right by Symmetry on Thursday June 14, 2012 @10:32AM (#4111487)
Iceland was one of the countries that was hurt the worst by the financial crisis, remember the joke "What's the capital of Iceland? About a buck fifty". But since then its done very well recovering. To quote a blog:

Iceland did almost everything right. They stiffed the bank creditors to avoid aggravating the moral hazard problem, just like the textbooks recommend. In the eurozone the bank creditors are being bailed out. They relied of fiscal policy to address S/I and debt issues, and let monetary policy address AD, just as the New Keynesians were recommending in the 1990s. In the eurozone they combined tight money with reckless deficits. And now Iceland is growing fast and the eurozone is stagnating. http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=14895

Re:Devaluation is austerity done right by betterth on Thursday June 14, 2012 @10:48AM (#4111552)
Question I wonder is: Iceland is tiny. Like TINY tiny kind of tiny. Their National GDP is $12.57 billion USD. America spends about $20.2 billion a year on air condition in Afghanistan.

The point being -- the world economy can (and did) withstand the default and destruction of the Icelandic finance system.

Could it have survived the default and destruction of the American finance system? Or would our incredibly interlinked, globalized finance system bring down the world economy with it?

Re:Devaluation is austerity done right by nickik on Thursday June 14, 2012 @11:00AM (#4111610)
Acctually it is very, very unlickly that the American finance system would have blown. Everytime the US has bailed out banks unter the premis 'to big to fail' later analysis has shown that the impact would have been much smaller.

There is a book about that: "Too Big to Fail: The Hazards of Bank Bailouts"

http://www.amazon.com/Too-Big-Fail-Hazards-Bailouts/dp/08157...

or maybe better for most people a podcast with the auther:

http://www.econtalk.org/archives/2009/10/gary_stern_on_t.htm...

It was acctually the feds intervention (paying banks to hold reserves) not the fall of leeman that froze the holesale lending market.

Re:Devaluation is austerity done right by Symmetry on Thursday June 14, 2012 @11:01AM (#4111619)
Good question, but I think the important thing to reduce moral hazard is that the bank's investors or creditors take it on the nose, not that we allow the bank itself to collapse. Still, it is a more complicated question for the US than for Iceland.
Re:Devaluation is austerity done right by nickik on Thursday June 14, 2012 @10:50AM (#4111569)
I agree with scott on most things but he only looks at what happens not how it happend.

Iceland acctually said (around 2001 I would have too look) that they will bailout there banks unlimted. They acctually tried to bail out there banks but faild, because knowbody was dumb enougth do currency swaps with them.

They would have been hit so hard if they would have made that garantee (there banks where so badly overleveriged its unbelivable).

The inflation they produced whas just because they tried to bail out with krona, it was not smart NGDP targeting that Scott would want.

They did good by accident but we can learn from it anyway.

What Im not sure about is if the default of the country itself was necessey if they would have helped the banks and other special intresst.