Re:AT&T says criminals stole phone records of 'nearly all' c...
by teraflop on Friday July 12, 2024 @10:55AM
(#40946168)
Unfortunately, that analysis seems to have made absolutely no attempt to check whether the results are statistically significant.
Pick 118 random companies at 118 random points in time. It's vanishingly unlikely that the average returns of that group will exactly track the NASDAQ returns over the following 60 days. It might underperform, or it might overperform. An underperformance of 3.2% could easily just be the result of random chance, and have nothing to do with data breaches.
Re:AT&T says criminals stole phone records of 'nearly all' c...
by jkaptur on Friday July 12, 2024 @12:14PM
(#40946912)
My hypothesis would be that companies with poor operational practices are more likely to underperform the index and have data breaches - in other words, that the study confuses cause and effect.
This wouldn't be that hard to test. I suspect that the breached companies underperformed in the six months before the breach as well as the six months after.
Re:AT&T says criminals stole phone records of 'nearly all' c...
by Terr_ on Friday July 12, 2024 @02:09PM
(#40947972)
Also, events which are not "just" data-leaks but also interruptions or degradation in regular operations. I suspect investors may be more sensitive to those events and their fallout, and such events more likely to either be caused by bad-practice or to be somehow connected to data-leaks.
https://www.comparitech.com/blog/information-security/data-b...
"Stocks of breached companies on average underperformed the NASDAQ by -3.2% in the six months after a breach disclosure"
That said, it's not clear what the long term impact is on stock price (if there is any).