The current (2008) probability http://earthquake.usgs.gov/regional/nca/ucerf/

I'm a little more worried about this one: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/research/structure/crust/cascadia...

This is why putting most of VC and most startups in one geographic location is stupid.

People in the bay area have a low sense of self preservation.

I hope all those landfill lofts come with life jackets.

Bay water is cold.

http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com/