Re:The Engineer Who Refused to Approve the Challenger Launch
by WalterBright on Friday June 21, 2024 @01:35PM
(#40751834)
Neil Armstrong figured that he only had a 50% chance of making it back from the moon alive.
Re:The Engineer Who Refused to Approve the Challenger Launch
by chasd00 on Friday June 21, 2024 @05:20PM
(#40753939)
I think the deal was there was already a pretty high threshold for risk. I don't know the percentage exactly but the problem was the o-ring thing put it over the threshold which should triggered a a no-go.
For example, you could say "we'll tolerate a 30% chance of loss of life on this launch" but then an engineer comes up and says "an issue we found puts the risk of loss of life at 65%". That crosses the limit and procedure means no launch. What should not happen is "well, we're going anyway" which is what happened with Challenger.
Nixon even had a 'if they died' speech prepared, so someone had to put the odds of success not at 100.