Sam has been pretty clear on denying GPT-5 rumors, so I don't think it will come anytime soon.

Sam mentioned on several occasions that GPT-5 will be much smarter than GPT-4. On Lex Fridman’s podcast, he even said the gap between GPT-5 and 4 will be as wide as GPT-4 and 3 (not 3.5).

He did remain silent on when it’s going to be launched.

OpenAI has been open about their ability to predict model performance prior to training. When Sam talks about GPT-5 he could very easily be talking about the hypothetical performance of a model given their internal projections. I think it’s very unlikely a fully trained GPT-5 exists yet.

Sam has stated that he knows the month GPT-5 will be released.

Given the amount of time and uncertainty involved in training and red-teaming these models, we can assume GPT-5 exists if we take Altman at his word.

It’s going to be launched this year. My buddy’s company had a private demo of gpt5

Ben Horowitz and Andreesen just complimented Sam on their podcast on how smart he is. They then went onto compliment how adept he is at competitive strategy. I wouldn’t trust a word he says about when they will arrive at agi or milestones along the way.