What about no sale yet they continue to operate because the ban is not enforceable either legally or technically?

For example, if they (or some party that's directly targeted like Apple or Cloudflare) gets a U.S. court to enjoin enforcement of some of the provisions.

Plug pulling is easy technically. I think plug pulling legally is also easy. Bytedance just doesn't have a strong defense.

The defense is the bill of rights.

Buzzkill! Everybody else on here was having fun opining that it's 100% certain that China pulls the plug, or conversely that a sale will happen, and you just had to point out that it's an empirical question where nobody can read the CCP's mind. Boo.

There's another market with more options where "ban will be rendered unenforceable by courts" is leading: https://manifold.markets/MichaelBlume/tiktok-endgame-which-w...