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Re:Financial Market Applications of LLMs by blitzar on Sunday April 21, 2024 @02:52AM (#40103679)
I have tested this with multiple veterans and none could tell them apart - but they had a high conviction on which random walks were a good buy and which were compelling shorts.
Re:Financial Market Applications of LLMs by bobbruno on Sunday April 21, 2024 @03:38AM (#40103874)
And there is your arbitrage opportunity. If you can model how analysts will react to a particular timeseries, even if it was random until that point, you have some information about the future. It'd be a good question to figure out if there is a consensus or majority about how to interpret patterns among the people making decisions or writing quant algos, that's something one could use.
Re:Financial Market Applications of LLMs by btbuildem on Sunday April 21, 2024 @10:49AM (#40106166)
That's an interesting take! You show them meaningless data, in order to extract their overall market sentiment, and use _that_ to inform your investing strategy?
Re:Financial Market Applications of LLMs by nequo on Sunday April 21, 2024 @02:09PM (#40107843)
This means that you don’t even need to ask the analysts to see how they react because any bias worth trading on can be predicted from the time series itself.