I’m making no claims about Ukraine’s military position, I’m saying Mr “close to zero new cases by end of April” Musk makes predictions based wholly on his political feelings instead of any sort of rational analysis, and given that he follows David Sacks and posts memes like this[0], I’m not surprised he thinks Ukraine should stop trying to reclaim territory and negotiate a settlement with an enemy that started the war by making a beeline for the capital.

[0] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1708629197617336398