http://twitpic.com/97ub0z

"facebook is stupid and for old people. It will change instagram"

Edit: By the way, most of teens use facebook heavily

Kids who feel the need to be somewhere cooler will be both there and on Facebook.

Why is that outcome not more likely than Facebook will stagnate and die?

Also, I think we don't like dividing our attention/loyalty.

It's seriously fucked up, though. Now that I'm free of the Facebook mental disease, it's disgusting to watch my friends in college mindlessly scrolling through the News Feed and not reacting to anything. Down, back up, back down... Facebook will be easy to replace with something new soon, I think that will be a really opportunistic window in about a year or so.

Aha, now I know why Google+ seems so pleasant :)

The one thing I used to miss is party invites that get sent out to the masses. I would often not hear about them, so I started only going to parties I was personally invited to. Also much happier this way.

Come on, that doesn't prove anything. Nobody else uses Google Plus either.

Two words: Friends Reunited.

It's possible that this is just the lifecycle of social networks - they gradually get infiltrated by money and adults, and the young people move on, causing the network to stagnate and die."

I've considered Facebook a nightclub for a long time, but somebody (I think Mark Susser) said that the difference was timing, and Myspace and Friendster were simply too early. That made me pause to think, and I have to admit there may be something to it.

So my opinion these days is that there's a small chance he'll turn out to be right, and a much stronger chance that these things are nightclubs - "nobody goes there because it's too crowded" is the beginning of the end for them, and it hits all of them sooner or later.