Re:FTX's Sam Bankman-Fried Should Serve 40 to 50 Years in Pr...
by epivosism on Friday March 15, 2024 @04:40PM
(#39720482)
Readers may be interested in this link, which is to all the SBF sentence-related markets on manifold.
Caveats: just like twitter follower counts, instagram like counts, hn upvotes, this is "play money", the mana amounts the traders bet here are numbers in a database, not real cash. Also the number of traders is fairly small.
The top markets have settled on these values:
300 traders, The most likely time served is 20-30y
270 traders, he'll be sentenced to 20y+, 86%
135 traders, he'll be sentenced to 50y+, 27%
Caveats: just like twitter follower counts, instagram like counts, hn upvotes, this is "play money", the mana amounts the traders bet here are numbers in a database, not real cash. Also the number of traders is fairly small.
The top markets have settled on these values:
https://manifold.markets/browse/sbf-trial-sentence?s=most-po...