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Re:A ragtag band of internet friends became the best at fore... by valval on Wednesday March 13, 2024 @06:34AM (#39689892)
It's supposed to be a completely uninformed prior. The only information, as you can see, is introduced in the formula with the above explanation.

Forecasting in general is a silly affair. As a data scientist I get all kinds of requests for all kinds of predictions, and my only real job is to part those requesting parties from their money.

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