Re:Relating t-statistics and the relative width of confidenc...
by ASpring on Monday March 11, 2024 @01:02PM
(#39670689)
I'm not sure I'm fully understanding your point. Is it that constructing confidence intervals using t-statistics is inappropriate for a lot of real data that isn't distributed somewhat normally?
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Re:Relating t-statistics and the relative width of confidenc...
by nerdponx on Monday March 11, 2024 @03:31PM
(#39672344)
It's their point, and it's a good one, but I think they're somewhat overstating how common power-law data is; it probably varies a lot by field of study. And at least the logarithm of a power-law variable can help bring it back closer to the world of sanity. Plus, there are plenty of fields where nonparametric tests of medians are accepted standard practice.
Re:Relating t-statistics and the relative width of confidenc...
by mjburgess on Monday March 11, 2024 @06:53PM
(#39674133)
You can turn most issues into powerlaws by recursing a reasonable risk distribution over it.
So suppose we ask, what is our confidence in X? (rather than X); and then, what is our confidence in the model by which we give confidences in X (ie., the model risk); and so on...
In practice, what we want to model is the appropriate confidence, not an actual prediction (bunk). So we are very often screwed.
Statistics is an illusion.