Re:What if AGI is not coming?
by throwaway48r7r on Thursday March 07, 2024 @02:16AM
(#39626072)
This undersells the fact that to a not insignificant degree humans are stochastic parrots too.
This argument is, and always has been, utter bullshit.
All humans have the capacity to genuinely learn, create, and think, regardless of how their output appears to you in some subset of interactions with them.
"Some humans sometimes have trouble with critical thinking, or just regurgitate previously-memorized facts" is not in any way equivalent to "LLMs, by their fundamental nature, only have the capacity to produce various recombinations of their training data."
"Oh don't worry, AGI is coming soon and we'll solve that later" - AI founders
Yet they don't even know how long that is since no-one knows or it never happens. Mistakes in AI are costly and are very expensive.
What if their startup fails before the time arrives because they still cannot make any money and need to constantly raise VC money every week or quarter?
Again, there will only be 90% - 95% of these 'AI' companies that will fail with the 5% to 10% still around including the incumbents.