Re:$5 device accurately tests for breast cancer in under 5 s...
by matthewmacleod on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:16PM
(#39399929)
This statement belies a fundamental misunderstanding of statistics on your part.
Re:$5 device accurately tests for breast cancer in under 5 s...
by ethanbond on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:25PM
(#39400083)
If you're really good at statistics, you can just intuit what seems like a sufficient N. This is actually a powerful statistical method because you can vary your intuition depending on whether you want to believe the study was well-powered or not, enabling you to easily discard Bad Evidence and include Good Evidence.
Few understand this.
Re:$5 device accurately tests for breast cancer in under 5 s...
by Spivak on Friday February 16, 2024 @01:07PM
(#39400713)
You don't intuit it, you calculate it. If you claim to be able to predict coin flips with a specific accuracy I can give you the exact number of trails N you need to be x% confident.
If you claim 90% accuracy and I want to be 95% confident with the standard alpha of 0.05 you need 38 trials.
Re:$5 device accurately tests for breast cancer in under 5 s...
by jncfhnb on Friday February 16, 2024 @12:51PM
(#39400466)
No, that’s utter nonsense. Statistical power is well defined and the required N to reliably detect an effect is a function of its effect size, which is the thing that wannabe statisticians don’t understand.
Re:$5 device accurately tests for breast cancer in under 5 s...
by lazyasciiart on Friday February 16, 2024 @02:00PM
(#39401466)
> you can vary your intuition depending on whether you want to believe the study
I suspect it is deliberate nonsense.
"Exploratory study shows promise" is better. When n=21, flipping a coin as about as accurate.