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A comment on Should you go for 2 down 8?. Parent comment

Re:Should you go for 2 down 8? by bluedino on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @11:10AM (#39119050)
> I have seen no evidence that all 2-point conversions aren't equally likely to succeed

Pass plays are less likely to convert than run plays. The conversion rates aren't even equal between teams.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/two-point-conversion-p...

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Re:Should you go for 2 down 8? by aidenn0 on Wednesday January 24, 2024 @01:35PM (#39120965)
Surely implicit in the statement is "all 2-point conversions in the 4th quarter by the same team" since we are comparing 3 possible 2-point conversions in the 4th quarter by the same team. (2pt conversion when down by 8, 2pt conversion when down by 2, 2pt conversion when down by 1).
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Re:Should you go for 2 down 8? by cp9 on Thursday January 25, 2024 @06:01AM (#39128276)
> The conversion rates aren't even equal between teams

yes but in this instance we are considering the same team

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