News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by dragonwriter on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @04:29PM (#38932363)
> My take on this is that lacking direct combat experience everything the Americans (and the West more generally) will come up with in terms of drones will be hugely inferior to whatever the Russians are now building

America doesn't lack direct combat experience with drone warfare, on either the side using drones or the side being targeted by drones.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by bbor on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @04:34PM (#38932429)
Could you explain? I think we’re having a different discussion than the million dollar predator drones that shot missiles at western Asia from a mile up. And to say that defending against ISIS/Houthi/Etc. drones is in any way similar to the experience Ukraine and Russia are getting seems wrong. But I’m probably misunderstanding?

In general I’m not 100% convinced by “they use drones so they’re better with them” but it’s plausible. We’re also involved with the Ukrainian side, to say the least, so I imagine we’re getting some detailed intel on their effectiveness and shortcomings.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by jandrewrogers on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @05:20PM (#38933082)
The US has decades of intensive research, development, and operational experience with of drones at every scale and for every mission. This ranges from the multi-million dollar predator drones you are thinking of to the dirt-cheap disposable drones used by infantry units that are basically just higher quality versions of what is being used in Ukraine. US military has been preparing for this for a long time and has a lot of real-world experience with it.

I think people have already forgotten that many of the early small-format drone capabilities used in Ukraine were provided by the US. An issue is that many of these types of drone systems developed by the US are export controlled, particularly the sensors and electronics, which limits the types available to Ukraine. Much of the equipment given to Ukraine by the US is obsolete or downgraded prior to delivery.

Ukraine and Russia are speed-running drone warfare that the US has been trying to perfect for decades. The US military has solutions to particular drone warfare problems that Ukraine/Russia have not yet solved.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by riku_iki on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @07:09PM (#38934261)
I see it very differently:

- Ukraine's drones capabilities were built internally using consumer grade hardware

- US tried to supply some cutting edge military grade drones(switchblade 300/600), but there is no much reports about them, and program has been canceled since then, I speculate those drones were having significant issues

My suspicion is that US small combat drones programs are weak and ineffective.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by dragonwriter on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @07:23PM (#38934394)
> US tried to supply some cutting edge military grade drones(switchblade 300/600)

“Tried”?

> but there is no much reports about them,

There are lots of reports about them.

> and program has been canceled since then

US acquisition of the anti-personnel Switchblade 300 was cancelled recently, the anti-armor 600 was stepped up, both for deliveries to Ukraine and for deployment with US forces on a wide scale.

And, yes, the cancellation seems largely due to experience in Ukraine and the superiority of cheaper, adapted-from-consumer-models drones for anti-personnel use, but its important to note that's not an absence of combat experience—the 300 was rush developed and deployed to combat in Afghanistan in the early 2010s, and used extrnsively there. This is just the learning that happens with different approaches guided by different constraints finding different solutions.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by riku_iki on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @07:58PM (#38934732)
> There are lots of reports about them.

I am kinda following this topic, and have seen maybe 2.

> the anti-armor 600 was stepped up

my reading of the news is that army ordered 100 units for testing

but the point is that despite claims of decades of intensive research, etc, US's only visible program is some small third party company with questionable quality, no other projects are visible, while other players (Israel with spike nlos, Russia with lancet, Iran with shahed) have several gens of battle proven tech already.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by hughesjj on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @08:30PM (#38934963)
I mean not as small as a DJI mini but these have been around for over a decade

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/AeroVironment_Switchblade

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by happytiger on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @05:19PM (#38933069)
America doesn’t lack combat experience with small drones.

> The fighting in Ukraine has provided "reinforcement and validation" of what US troops have learned about drones in the Middle East, Gainey said at the conference, echoing Army leaders who say the drone war in Ukraine is influencing their planning — particularly for how to counter the one-way attack drones that Russia has used widely.

> "In some cases, yes, what we're sending to Ukraine are also going to fit into our future plans," Douglas Bush, the assistant secretary of the Army for acquisition, logistics, and technology, said at a press conference in early August.

Further:

> "There's no one silver bullet. There's no one system that we can call out and say, 'This is a system that's going to defeat every threat,'" Parent told Insider.

Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-ukraine-fighting-dron...

The truth is that there is no “drone warfare” only a new class of military tools that resemble drones and are built on drone-esque platforms. They come on the sea, they come by land and they come by air, and they can be millions of dollars or 3500-5000 bucks (which is utterly nothing for US military spending) and built of cardboard like this one:

https://www.defensenews.com/air/2023/09/13/cardboard-drone-v...

They are using Ukraine as a providing ground for anti-drone technology for sure as there have been many reports of directed energy weapons in Ukraine and Israel as of late.

There are also sea-based systems:

https://www.newsweek.com/taiwan-drone-sea-china-attack-laser...

So definitely we are in the drone warfare period and those lessons are getting learned. Have been since 2013 to 2016 when we had initial reports of drones on the battlefield and reactions in military planning discussions.

With regards to the idea, that experience is the sole predictor of Battlefield success, I would urge the original poster of that comment to read a few history books.

Re:Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt Is Working on a Secret Militar... by bbor on Tuesday January 09, 2024 @05:24PM (#38933127)
Thanks for the detailed response and interesting links - I absolutely see what you’re saying. People like you are why hacker news is hard to quit!