Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by mpweiher on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:36AM
(#38795217)
Simple:
Take the Vogtle-3 time, divide by average time to construct a nuclear reactor.
Apply factor to Lazard "estimate".
Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by hef19898 on Thursday December 28, 2023 @12:17PM
(#38795708)
If it is so simple, can you do that math for us?
Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by adrianN on Thursday December 28, 2023 @01:25PM
(#38796665)
Even going by that ridiculously oversimplified calculation, and taking best-case numbers 0.75*$141 (10 years from first concrete poured to grid connection vs your 7.5 years average) is still barely competitive with worst-case Wind+Storage and more expensive than solar as Lazard estimates. And those are proven numbers from real projects not some pie in the sky guesstimates.
Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by mpweiher on Thursday December 28, 2023 @02:20PM
(#38797373)
Your numbers don't add up.
Vogtle was only delayed by 25%, 2.5 years? I thought it was such a disaster and this proved nuclear doesn't work?
Now it's all good?
This says the delay was 7 years:
https://apnews.com/article/georgia-nuclear-power-plant-vogtl...
Oh, and the plant will still be cost effective, apparently, even with those delays.
Oh, and the solar numbers include sufficient batter storage? I saw something about 4h for half the capacity on some of the graphs. Most didn't explain at all.
Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by adrianN on Thursday December 28, 2023 @11:17PM
(#38801709)
As I said above, where you didn't believe me, construction times are misleading. First concrete poured was 2013. If you don't like the numbers, please suggest a better cost estimate. As it is, nuclear seems to be expensive.
Re:First new U.S. nuclear reactor since 2016 is now in opera...
by mpweiher on Friday December 29, 2023 @10:02AM
(#38805656)
"LCOE of less than $30/MWhre for 40-60 years"
https://web.mit.edu/kshirvan/www/research/ANP193%20TR%20CANE...
I’m still waiting for better cost estimates than what Lazard gives.