I'm not sure that's a useful argument insomuch as A) its unfalsifiable until they IPO (reporting indicates they are very, very profitable) and B) running out of GPUs seems like an odd thing to name as an indicator you're _losing_ money.

People are genuinely way, way, way underestimating how intense the GPU shortage is.

I haven't seen any reporting about their costs. I'm sure they're making bonkers numbers in revenue, but that doesn't mean they're profitable if they're losing money on every gpt call. You're saying my claim that they're unprofitable is unfalsifiable. The same is true for claims that they're wildly profitable. We just don't know the financial state of the company because they're not public.

My understanding, which I can’t prove other than to say it comes from folks affiliated with OpenAI, is that chatgpt doesn’t make money but also doesn’t lose money (in aggregate, some accounts use way more than others but many accounts are fairly idle), and their API business is profitable and accounts for most of their GPU utilization. I have no insight into why they would turn off signups for chatgpt other than they may need the capacity for their enterprise customers, where they make a decent margin.