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Re:How could Al Bundy afford a house when he was making mini... by truculent on Monday November 27, 2023 @08:01PM (#38440918)
Is there a market that would price in the kind of predictions/lag the poster is proposing?
Re:How could Al Bundy afford a house when he was making mini... by _huayra_ on Monday November 27, 2023 @08:14PM (#38441016)
There are many, but one good leading indicator is freight companies / shipping rates.

Looking at things like housing and cars directly can hide things because of can-kicking shenanigans. Melody Wright has a great substack that goes over what the homebuilders are doing to make it seem like sales are strong [0], going well beyond the "have the construction workers park in the driveway of unsold units" stuff.

[0] https://substack.com/@m3melody