I'm a little concerned about using IEA model analysis to address the question of timing, as these models do try to hit timing but in reality are still very uncertain that any analysis based on the timing is fun to talk about but holds no real value and, from the publications I've read, shouldn't be interpreted as such.

This isn't to discount policies or decisions based on the energy transition scenarios used here, I mean we need more and more effort to curb our GHG emissions, but I would advise against interpreting this dataset in this manner.