Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf...
by jacquesm on Thursday November 23, 2023 @03:19PM
(#38397071)
My position is that it is either right around the corner or that it is 50 years and several major tech breakthroughs away. The reason is that there is now so much money poured into this space that you are essentially doing an exhaustive search around the point already reached. As long as that results in more breakthroughs more money will be available. If that stops working for a while then the money dries up and we're in a period of quiet again. So keep an eye on the rate of improvements and as long as no single year passes without a breakthrough it could happen any time.
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Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf...
by mitthrowaway2 on Thursday November 23, 2023 @09:27PM
(#38400106)
If we're just 50 years away from an existential risk, that does strike me as an urgent concern and a narrow timeline.
Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf...
by jacquesm on Friday November 24, 2023 @06:31AM
(#38402876)
It is. Show me a single individual with a time horizon that exceeds their own life or that of their children. That means you have to be early 20's or so today (or late teens) and that you are aware enough and capable enough to act on something that is not an immediate concern for decades. I don't see that happening, even if a handful of such individuals exist it won't be enough to make a difference, and that's before we get into cultural differences which undo your efforts because others are going full steam ahead anyway and probably in much larger numbers.
Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf...
by notTooFarGone on Friday November 24, 2023 @09:52AM
(#38404534)
I mean we are 50 years away from a lot of existential risk and the average guy does not give a fuck.