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Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by nradov on Sunday November 12, 2023 @12:07PM (#38242015)
These are no longer typical times for Chinese leadership. Chairman Xi has successfully purged all other power centers but this has made him increasingly isolated and surrounded only by sycophants. Underlings are now afraid to bring him bad news or push back on bad decisions. Thus, we should expect to see an escalating level of errors and miscalculations.
Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by coffeecantcode on Sunday November 12, 2023 @01:14PM (#38242649)
X I’d leadership style is beginning to show very serious parallels to Chiang Kai-Shek’s leadership of China in the early 20th century, but with a fair bit more competency and an unbelievably higher level of influence and power.
Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by _tik_ on Sunday November 12, 2023 @08:58PM (#38246043)
I am unsure which era of Chiang Kai Shek you are referring to. Multiple warlords ruled CKS-era China. CKS did not have any power in North China. CKS capital was Nanjing. The CKS era was full of war with communists and other warlords.

CKS had the full support of the US.

Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by coffeecantcode on Sunday November 12, 2023 @09:38PM (#38246259)
>CKS had the full support of the US.

Ah but he did not have the “full” support for the last 20 years of his reign due to his insistence on using foreign aid to bolster his holding in Nanjing instead of pushing out the Japanese from the mainland to the north and in Burma. He was more concerned with losing power to the communists than losing his country to Japan. While his role was viewed as “democratic” in the eyes of the US media his role was nothing short of a one-party dictatorship that suffered from the same inability of subordinates being able to notify the powers that be of anything even resembling bad news.

Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by kelipso on Sunday November 12, 2023 @07:59PM (#38245738)
This whole Xi gonna go crazy take on China is so silly. It's a massive country with a single party that has been in power for over 70 years. One person isn't going to be able to make any drastic decisions at all.

It reminds me of the demographic collapse nonsense that people have been spouting for 30 years. It's all such cope, it's pathetic.

Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by nradov on Sunday November 12, 2023 @08:06PM (#38245773)
Chairman Mao made a lot of drastic decisions. There's really nothing in the Chinese government system to prevent that from happening again.

No one is seriously claiming that Xi is crazy. However, even perfectly sane and intelligent people tend to make poor decisions when they're fed inaccurate information.

The demographic collapse due to the one child policy is literally happening right now. Their population is aging faster than most of the rest of the world, although their neighbors in East Asia have similar patterns.

https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/12/05/key-facts...

Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by kelipso on Sunday November 12, 2023 @09:50PM (#38246339)
That was more than 40 years ago, and he was the first leader of the party after a revolution. A lot has happened since then, so it's ridiculous to use that to predict current events. This is worse than astrology.
Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by nradov on Sunday November 12, 2023 @09:58PM (#38246383)
Apparently you haven't been paying attention to recent events. Xi has spent the last several years consolidating power. There are no longer multiple competing cliques within the CCP. He now has a level of personal control not seen since Mao. So, we shouldn't be surprised if similar patterns repeat.

For one example, Xi's pointless and counterproductive measures to contain COVID-19 are certainly reminiscent of Mao's four pests campaign. History doesn't repeat itself, but it does rhyme.

Re:Australia locks down ports after 'nationally significant'... by kelipso on Monday November 13, 2023 @07:32AM (#38249458)
Sure...it's fun to use your imagination but this is worse than astrology.