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Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by amalcon on Thursday November 02, 2023 @07:58AM (#38112263)
This is more or less exactly where I land on this. The extinction risk argument is somewhat plausible in the long term[0], but it doesn't seem that we are especially close to developing that class of problem. Meanwhile, there are very real and immediate risks to this type of technology -- in various forms of giving some humans more power over other humans.

The attacks proposed by the extinction risk people actively make those immediate risks worse. The only way we've found to prevent some from leveraging almost any technology to control others is to democratize said technology -- so that everyone has access. Limiting access will just accrue more power to those with access, even if they need to be.

[0]- Say, the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval is 50-100 years out. People who I know to be sensible disagree with me on this estimate, but it's where I honestly end up.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by itsoktocry on Thursday November 02, 2023 @09:18AM (#38113109)
>The extinction risk argument is somewhat plausible in the long term[0], but it doesn't seem that we are especially close to developing that class of problem.

The parable at the beginning of Superintelligence relates to this; the problem looks far away, but we don't know where, precisely it will arise, or if it will be too late when we realize it.

Re:Yann LeCun: AI one-percenters seizing power forever is re... by boringg on Thursday November 02, 2023 @11:11AM (#38114616)
You mean democratize the technology within specific confines? I don't see humans proliferating weapons technology amongst other nations as that poses a greater risk that conflicts will become more violent.