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Re:Carl Sagan's Rules for Bullshit-Busting and Critical Thin... by roughly on Sunday October 29, 2023 @04:22PM (#38062355)
Depends on how valid you consider statistics and climate modelling. We're seeing increasing numbers of events that are incredibly statistically unlikely in a climate unaffected by anthropogenic climate change, so - can we say with absolute certainty that X was caused by climate change? That's hard. But we say that X was incredibly, unbelievably unlikely without climate change, and that's usually been a sufficient standard for accepting a hypothesis.

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