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Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by yodsanklai on Thursday October 26, 2023 @10:47AM (#38026304)
> if I had to choose a country to get ahead in life with the most opportunities possible as an immigrant, US is still the country to be at.

If I was to be reincarnated as a random person in a given country, I wouldn't pick the US though. Even as a skilled worker who can decide where to work, I prefer some European countries for healthcare, vacations and culture. That being said, I feel Europe is declining and it feels the US could become a better choice in the near future.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:24AM (#38026818)
In my (albeit unusual, privileged) experience as a highly paid tech worker, vacations/healthcare are not bad in the US... I've had more vacation days, and much better access to healthcare (for a cheaper price) in the US. Also the wealth differential is astronomical.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by dragonwriter on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:31AM (#38026913)
> In my (albeit unusual, privileged) experience as a highly paid tech worker, vacations/healthcare are not bad in the US...

Healthcare and vacations in the US are often reasonable for the developed world if you are, e.g., a highly-paid tech worker or other elite worker or, in some jurisdictions, a public sector worker (especially one with many years in, for vacations)

For the other, oh, 80% of the US working population, though, that's not true.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:36AM (#38027016)
Right, I'm just speaking for the "highly skilled" working class here.

To put it into perspective, in Germany you might make 4k/month as a highly educated, highly skilled worker with years of experience. Even if you work remote (most don't) you won't be able to find a decent small house even in the middle of nowhere below 500k.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by pillefitz on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:36PM (#38028965)
After tax, healthcare and pension, I make 80k Euros as a highly skilled tech worker in Germany. Living expenses including rent amount up to 20k per year, so I save 60k per year. Paying off a nice house therefore takes around 10 years, which is not bad at all.

I recently visited the US and haven't been happier to be a EU citizen in a long time, tbh.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @02:01PM (#38029354)
So you make 140k+ a year? That's an extremely high salary for Germany, you must be in the top 1-2% of earners in the country.

Going by levels FYI, this would put you in the 95th percentile, the equivalent in NYC would be $400,000.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by dragonwriter on Thursday October 26, 2023 @03:08PM (#38030346)
So you make 140k+ a year?

He said he made 80k Euros ($84.5k) and save 60k euros from that. Where do you get 140k+?

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by atomicUpdate on Thursday October 26, 2023 @03:17PM (#38030443)
You’re ignoring the “after tax” at the very beginning of his statement.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @03:15PM (#38030427)
80k net is around 140k gross.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by gen220 on Thursday October 26, 2023 @03:36PM (#38030698)
Just for reference, converting to USD $150k be in the top 6-7% of earners in the U.S. in 2022. Taxation rates vary widely.

I budget for ⅓ off the top, living in NYC (this is an overestimate, but common practice) for a post-tax income of $100k. High income geographies are correlated with high tax rates in the U.S., too.

Anyways, all this to say that U.S. post-tax-post-benefits income is not wildly different from the E.U. Maybe the main difference is that you can work as a freelancer, expense everything, and effectively opt-out of health insurance, and take home more salary.

But if you're salaried and in tech in the top quartile of the labor market, post-tax savings is pretty much the same in western EU vs U.S. There's no 10x difference in wages, (excluding equity performance, which is not a tax/benefits policy issue).

In general, E.U. citizens I know who have come to the U.S. do it because the businesses here are more interesting and have more upside (i.e. the aforementioned equity upside component). If they're making bigger heaps of money, it's because of startup equity comp, not because of tax or benefits policies.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @04:03PM (#38031004)
Look if you normalize it across all jobs yes but I'm talking about specialized jobs. The ceiling is much higher in the US and it's not even close. A doctor might hope to make 140k towards the end of their career in Germany, a new grad will make this in the US.

> But if you're salaried and in tech in the top quartile of the labor market, post-tax savings is pretty much the same in western EU vs U.S. There's no 10x difference in wages, (excluding equity performance, which is not a tax/benefits policy issue).

As someone who's worked in top companies in Germany and the US, I feel confident enough to weigh in on this. Top earners might make 200k TC in Berlin, but engineers at this caliber will earn 500k+ in NYC. And no, rent and tipping in restaurants does not take up that 300k difference.

> If they're making bigger heaps of money, it's because of startup equity comp, not because of tax or benefits policies.

They're making more money because American companies pay more money, because they make more money, they have access to more capital, they hire in a more competitive market.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by yodsanklai on Thursday October 26, 2023 @04:13PM (#38031112)
Working for a Google/Meta as an L5 engineer in Europe take you in the 160-200K league. This would be 300-350K in NYC/Bay area for the same role and company. Considering living expenses and more vacation in Europe, it's not that different. A difference though is that you have many more opportunities in the US to match FAANG Salary than you have in let say France or Germany.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by mcntsh on Thursday October 26, 2023 @04:24PM (#38031253)
Ironically, these salaries are really mostly only attainable working for American companies. Some facts for anyone reading:

- 350k is like 200k net in CA

- 200k is ~110k net in Germany

- ~90k post-tax difference

- Germany: 25 days PTO min

- Meta: 25-30 days PTO min

- Google: 20 days PTO min

Considering COL differences, you'd probably save 40-50k more in the US than Germany with these numbers. Maybe it's not significant enough to lose the EU lifestyle bonuses but it's also not nothing.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by pillefitz on Saturday October 28, 2023 @04:11AM (#38048107)
Yes, that's right. Unfortunately I don't own any property. Rent is around 1500-1800eur a month for a two person appartment in a bigger city
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by FirmwareBurner on Thursday October 26, 2023 @04:11PM (#38031092)
>After tax, healthcare and pension, I make 80k Euros as a highly skilled tech worker in Germany.

That's insanely high post-tax salary for Germany. Most aren't making that before-tax. You're an exceptionably rare circumstance that's far from the norm.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by pillefitz on Saturday October 28, 2023 @04:08AM (#38048095)
I wouldn't call it insanely high, given that my baseline is tech jobs.

As a freelancer, you make around 800-1000$ a day working for bigger German companies, and the bar to become one is not very high from my experience on both sides of the table. For internal employees the ceiling is at around 120k for senior engineers, above that you need to go into middle management territory or be an EM equivalent.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by woobar on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:06PM (#38027570)
How did you get 80%?
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by slaw on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:32PM (#38027996)
He pulled it out of his ass?
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by bandyaboot on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:12PM (#38028631)
I’m guessing it was an intuited number since the subject was an undefined standard of reasonableness that would be a matter of personal opinion and experience. Since it’s impossible to assign a definitive number to such a thing, most people would assume that that’s not what the writer is attempting to do.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by woobar on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:31PM (#38028878)
I wanted to understand the reasoning behind a comment like this. There are great wiggle words (most, significant amount, etc) that let one pretend they are objective. But the GP went for a very precise number without substantiating it in any way.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by solardev on Thursday October 26, 2023 @10:48AM (#38026320)
Why do you feel as though Europe is declining?
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by wing-_-nuts on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:12AM (#38026651)
Europe's demographics simply cannot support the size of their social safety nets. European countries are already relying more on immigrants, but immigration from central / eastern europe is already tapped out.

That only leaves you with immigrants from beyond the EU. Most of those who have any skills are going to try to get into the US. The ones that can't are probably going to try and get residency / citizenship in canada and get in via a TN visa.

Europe is left with the remainder, and unskilled migrants from cultures which frankly have a much harder time integrating into a western one. Over the long term it's a pretty dire situation.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by jonkoops on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:33PM (#38028012)
> European countries are already relying more on immigrants

The birth rate in the US is 1.64, the EU average is 1.53. So this is almost equally true for the US, a country historically built on the backs of immigrants.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by spamizbad on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:45PM (#38028208)
The chickens are going to come home to roost soon enough wrt America's population growth. Lots of talk about what happens when the Boomers have fully exited the workforce, but 30+ years down the road when Millennials follow them we're going to be in a similar situation as Europe/China. My hope is that we open ourselves up more.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by delfinom on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:50PM (#38028284)
That's happening sooner than you think. We are in the boomer retirement wave. The peak is within 5 years. The tail end is in 10 years (from now).
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by wing-_-nuts on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:55PM (#38028366)
I don't have the stats in front of me, but when you factor in immigration the us is over 2.0 while Europe still lags.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by delfinom on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:51PM (#38028300)
>Europe's demographics simply cannot support the size of their social safety nets

Neither can the US with social security, pensions and 401ks. All ponzi schemes created on infinite growth with the future generation paying off the last. The rate of pension bailouts by the Feds has been increasing even now.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by actuator on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:01AM (#38026479)
Most countries in Western Europe have the social net curse blogging them down. The high tax, high social care system only works if the country is on a good growth track. As more people turn old and retire, someone has to pay for those. With wage stagnation in most normal occupations and lack of growth, the way they have tried to tackle this is with increase in immigration, which in turn keeps wages low in low paying sectors. Also, unlike US which does integration really well, this is not true for Europe where high immigration is leading to even frictions because of lack of integration.

On top of that, tech emerging as a big industry which forms a big part of the whole economic output of a country, has led to Europe losing out to US. Although only China through thier protectionism has been safe from that.

You can see this in the commentary about UK politics, where they don't have money to fund NHS and NHS wages haven't grown which has bogged down their healthcare system. Most of the manufacturing ecosystem is completely degraded. Productivity is at a complete toss as well, as they are not even able to build high speed rail well now, which for a social net country like UK should be of paramount importance.

To combat this, they have increased taxation, either through freezing slabs or moving down tax slabs. This penalises people in high wage professions and it leads to loss of competitiveness.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by solardev on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:12AM (#38026638)
You know, the US spends most of our government money on old people too (social security, medicare, etc.). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_federal_budget#/... We just get less bang for the buck for it because our healthcare and housing are so terribly inefficient and expensive, and we don't have a strong culture of familial support.

We can't build high speed rail either -- we can't even keep our low-speed rail running well -- and our answer to expensive healthcare is typically just "let them die, we can replace them" (immigration too, except we don't have to give our immigrants anything, just wink and pretend we hate them).

At the end of the day no society has it all figured out yet, but I'd love to live in a place with social services and a less hostile democracy so that all the citizens can work together to figure out next steps, instead of being dragged kicking and screaming by the rich. It's just a more collectivist mindset, not necessarily better or more right in any way.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by actuator on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:21AM (#38026783)
> You know, the US spends most of our government money on old people too (social security, medicare, etc.).

My whole point was how these issues are less of an issue for US, again comparing with UK

US has better age demographic distribution than UK

The net tax burden on an average UK person is way higher compared to US while having worse average wages. Quick googling shows per capita income tax collected in US is $15K, while in UK it is $21K

GDP per capita of UK is $46K compared to US's 70K

If even after having high taxes, a country is having problem funding social services, then that's a big issue as the high taxes are meant to take care of that. US doesn't have this issue as taxes being lower, people can use the money not spent on tax on funding the social care things for themselves.

Also, overall US is still an attractive place for high earners so it will keep on attracting people from those segments which will boost its tax revenues and lead to decline of Europe. As while western Europe might be still a good place for people on median wages or below, USA might be much better for people on the other end

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by solardev on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:36AM (#38026999)
> US has better age demographic distribution than UK

I can believe that. Japan's even worse off, wonder what they're gonna do...

> The net tax burden on an average UK person is way higher compared to US while having worse average wages. Quick googling shows per capita income tax collected in US is $15K, while in UK it is $21K

It's a bit trickier than that, because some of the same services (like healthcare) are still paid by the typical consumer in the US, it just doesn't show up in their taxes. $6k/year might actually just cover the premiums for a small family (what you pay the insurer before you use any services). Using that healthcare would be way more expensive.

I think a fairer comparison would be discretionary income (disposable income minus cost of living expenses like housing, healthcare, food, education), etc. Unfortunately that data isn't easy to find, and definitions differ, but without considering all of those, it's not really apples-to-apples just to look at taxation rates.

The average person is more affected by "how much money do I have left to spend after the essentials" than "am I paying the government or a private company for these essentials".

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by lotsofpulp on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:16PM (#38027735)
> $6k/year might actually just cover the premiums for a small family (

This is not true anywhere in the US. The lowest premiums are ~$400 per person per month for bronze level insurance.

Lowest premiums for a family of four would be ~$2k per month plus annual deductible of $5k to $10k plus annual out of pocket maximum of ~$10k to $17k (legal limit).

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by PaulDavisThe1st on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:46PM (#38028227)
This is incorrect.

At least until the end of 2024, insurance premiums are capped via subsidies (either paid directly, or as tax credits). The computation of the cap is extremely complex, but basically: you do not pay more than 8.3% of your household AGI for your state's 2nd most expensive silver-level insurance plan.

This is not widely talked about. It was a part of the ACA, but there was a salary cap somewhere near 100k/yr. The cap was removed during the COVID19 pandemic, and this currently runs to the end of 2024.

I used to pay $1300/month for my wife and I (in our late 50s); I currently pay $440/month (annual income approx $120k).

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by lotsofpulp on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:59PM (#38028440)
Interesting, does that only apply if you buy via healthcare.gov?

I see the full $30k+ in annual premiums that my employer plus I am paying in my W-2 (box 12 code DD), which is money that could have been cash compensation.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by PaulDavisThe1st on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:15PM (#38028670)
It does not apply (by my understanding) to employer-provided insurance. It does apply to all individually provided insurance whether purchased on exchange or not.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by adventured on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:35PM (#38028939)
US GDP per capita is $80,000 for 2023, not $70k. It's nearly double that of France or Britain at this point, and rapidly running away from them both. It's now more than double that of Japan.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by woobar on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:02PM (#38027483)
I think you are focusing on less important things.

Europe faces three big issues: demographic crisis, energy/resources dependency, and security vulnerability. US on the other hand will have good demographic outlook for most of this century, it is energy (including renewables) and resources rich, and separated by oceans from anyone who can threaten it.

High speed rail? Non-factor in a bigger picture.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by selimnairb on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:13AM (#38026665)
The problems of the UK and US declining industrial base is due to lack of “protectionism” as you call it. Really it’s been a de facto industrial policy of disinvestment and off shoring driven by financialization of their economies over the last ca. 45-years. Free capital flows benefit capitalists, not ordinary citizens.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by blindhippo on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:13PM (#38027675)
And yet these countries still focus on taxing income only, meanwhile a massive mountain of growing untouchable wealth is sitting there, owned by the older generation who supposedly need to be supported with the income generated by the young.

Tax and wealth distribution needs a fundamental rethink going into the next few decades - I really don't have high hopes that the current approaches will work. As you say, they are predicated on high growth scenarios which western nations are no longer experiencing at a macro level.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by jjkeddo199 on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:20PM (#38028733)
Don't kill the goose that lays golden eggs
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by dauertewigkeit on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:52PM (#38028321)
People have been trying to link the two together, but I see no direct link between (good) economic growth and public social spending.

It is not because of welfare that there are less startups in Europe and it is not because of welfare that the big companies in Europe prefer to be more conservative with their spending on R&D. It's cultural. It's people being more financially conservative and risk averse.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by chimprich on Thursday October 26, 2023 @01:00PM (#38028443)
> To combat this, they have increased taxation, either through freezing slabs or moving down tax slabs. This penalises people in high wage professions and it leads to loss of competitiveness.

I'm a relatively well paid software engineer in the UK, and I don't recognise this at all. I would be very happy to be taxed more to have a better health system. I wouldn't see this as being penalised, but something I'd vote for.

I have plenty of disposable income; if I had a bit less I'd probably spend less on buying expensive tech gadgets from American companies, investing in international shares or taking foreign holidays. It would be better for the country if that cash was diverted towards the NHS. I think overall it would make the country more prosperous. A sick workforce is an inefficient workforce.

Having a bit less cash would not make me less keen to start a company or change employer for more cash. In fact it would probably do the opposite.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by DanBC on Friday October 27, 2023 @02:20PM (#38042007)
> where they don't have money to fund NHS

We do have the money to fund the NHS. Successive Conservative governments have made the choice to defund the NHS, along with public health, and social care. And they did all of this on top of Brexit.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by yodsanklai on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:17AM (#38026722)
There may be some part of subjectivity and pessimism involved, but here are a few things in France (and I think it applies to most European countries):

- heatlhcare isn't what it used to be. Sure, it's free but it can take months to see some doctors, or even a dentist.

- retirement: the pension system isn't good. Most people will get less than 1.5K a month, and not before 64. The effects of the various pension reforms aren't visible yet but they will increase old people poverty.

- safety: this is political and people hold strong opinions on this, but my feeling is that poverty is on the rise, there are more and more unemployed young refugees...

More speculatively, I think Europe lacks natural resources and this is going to bite us more than the US.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by tejinderss on Thursday October 26, 2023 @11:13AM (#38026656)
Housing crisis, wars, uncontrolled immigration, high taxation, crumbling infrastructure (atleast here in ireland), declining economies. You name it.
Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by JauntTrooper on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:17PM (#38027745)
Many countries in Europe have been in an economic malaise for some time now.

https://archive.ph/dqbDH

> The eurozone economy grew about 6% over the past 15 years, measured in dollars, compared with 82% for the U.S., according to International Monetary Fund data. That has left the average EU country poorer per head than every U.S. state except Idaho and Mississippi, according to a report this month by the European Centre for International Political Economy, a Brussels-based independent think tank. If the current trend continues, by 2035 the gap between economic output per capita in the U.S. and EU will be as large as that between Japan and Ecuador today, the report said.

> The European Union now accounts for about 18% of all global consumption spending, compared with 28% for America. Fifteen years ago, the EU and the U.S. each represented about a quarter of that total.

> Adjusted for inflation and purchasing power, wages have declined by about 3% since 2019 in Germany, by 3.5% in Italy and Spain and by 6% in Greece. Real wages in the U.S. have increased by about 6% over the same period, according to OECD data.

Re:U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter,... by dukeyukey on Thursday October 26, 2023 @12:23PM (#38027858)
> Many countries in Europe have been in an economic malaise for some time now

Keep in mind a lot of this is exchange rates. If you look at GDP PPP, while falling slightly behind, the EU has mostly kept up with the US: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.PP.KD?locat...

Now nominal value is more important on a global influence scale so the usual figures still mean a lot, but it's way more nuanced than most peopl think.