BLS also projects "Software Developer" jobs to increase by 25% by 2032 [0]. Without more detail on how these roles are categorized, hard to say if this is a valuable source of data.
[0] https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/...
The latter seems to be the primary category, with 1,795,300 jobs vs 147,400 computer programmers.
And combining the -11% of 147K and +25% of 1.8M, BLS is projecting a net increase of over 400K jobs in the two categories.
But that includes QA and testers.
Of course it also says median salary is $100k and I haven’t been able to hire a programmer at $100k in 20 years. So I think there’s a lot of variability.
[0] https://www.bls.gov/ooh/computer-and-information-technology/...