Re:350,757 coin flips show coins tend to land the same-side ...
by bigstrat2003 on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @04:52PM
(#37837296)
I don't see how a new contestant has less information, though? They know that one of the two doors contains the prize, which is all the previous contestant knows either.
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Re:350,757 coin flips show coins tend to land the same-side ...
by cortesoft on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:15PM
(#37837623)
The crucial bit of information that the new contestant doesn't have is that there was a door that was ineligible to be eliminated (the door chosen by the original contestant).
If the game had different rules, it would work like you are imagining. Specifically, if Monty randomly eliminated one of the two doors, meaning there was a chance for Monty to reveal the prize instead of a goat. If Monty has the chance to eliminate the prize before giving the contestant a chance to switch, then switching does not give you an advantage.
Re:350,757 coin flips show coins tend to land the same-side ...
by benchaney on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:31PM
(#37837854)
When one door was opened it revealed information about the other two doors.
Re:350,757 coin flips show coins tend to land the same-side ...
by bigstrat2003 on Wednesday October 11, 2023 @10:56AM
(#37845261)
But it didn't. Before, we knew that one of those two doors could contain either a prize or a goat. After, we know the same exact thing. No information was gained there.