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Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by cafeinux on Saturday October 07, 2023 @01:02PM (#37803384)
Assuming that they are currently roughly at the same stade of evolution as us, or less, and knowing that Voyager 1, the farthest human made object in space, only crossed the heliopause eleven years ago, it's not highly probable that "something" would have reached us by now. Of course, it's based on an assumption, but the contrary is too. The thing is we don't know enough to estimate when, where and how life might have appeared elsewhere.
Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by Filligree on Saturday October 07, 2023 @01:04PM (#37803407)
Where is that assumption coming from? Different planets could easily sit a billion years apart in evolution, based on the age of their star. Meanwhile a thousand years is a long time for technology.
Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by aeonik on Saturday October 07, 2023 @01:14PM (#37803509)
Professor David Kipping has a lot of great videos that break down the statistical assumptions of these models.

Here is on such video I highly recommend.

https://youtu.be/-CsLmoiKugE?si=HocVLFJK3mwTgaFp