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Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by mr_mitm on Saturday October 07, 2023 @12:33PM (#37803134)
I agree with your conclusion, but it does not follow from that statement, which is just a made up rule of thumb. I'd rather apply Bayesian statistics. If we found life on one more planet, what were the chances of that assuming those are the only two planets with life? Pretty low I'd say.
Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by WithinReason on Saturday October 07, 2023 @12:53PM (#37803341)
Not really, one planet could have seeded the other
Re:Could Earth be the only planet with intelligent life? by mr_mitm on Saturday October 07, 2023 @01:03PM (#37803385)
True, I should have added "independently"

Actually, without any additional knowledge I'd assume that some sort of seeding has happened, as that's presumably more likely than live developing independently.