Predictive Policing Software Is Pretty Terrible at Predicting Crimes

Re:Predictive Policing Software Is Pretty Terrible at Predic... by lr4444lr on Tuesday October 03, 2023 @04:37PM (#37757211)

> On the whole people commit crime because they are desperate (for money, for drugs, etc.) occasionally because they have an anti-social personality disorder.

Most poor people do not commit crimes, which is what you would expect if that statemebt is true. I have no info on addicts, but I doubt most of them commit crimes either aside from dealing.

Antisocial behavior is the common denominator.

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Re:Predictive Policing Software Is Pretty Terrible at Predic... by tech_ken on Tuesday October 03, 2023 @05:51PM (#37758079)

> Most poor people do not commit crimes, which is what you would expect if that statemebt is true.

No this does not follow from what I said. "Group A is more likely to do X than Group B" is very different from "The majority of Group A does X". One is a comparison between two rates, and the other is a comparison of one rate to an absolute threshold (50%).

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