Re:Batman's Real Story
by Groxx on Thursday March 29, 2012 @12:46PM
(#3771859)
This might be true, but then what would the odds be for 50 years? 100? He may be literally saving a couple lives, but he's enriching and giving hope to a lot more, and they'll remember it. How do you quantify that effect on their life, and how it affects what they do? If 10 of them donate 25k for malaria because he helped them, then the balance is even. If one finds a cure because they're interested in helping people, then...?
[ Parent
| on HN ]
I think I would still give 2:1 odds for 50 years, and better than even odds for 100 years.
It's possible that what he's doing will have disproportionate knock-on effects. It's also possible (though I think slightly less likely) that the malaria thing would have disproportionate knock-on effects.
Also, I think "a couple of lives" is understating it. With $250,000, I would be surprised if you couldn't save 100 lives.
Ah, sorry - the 'couple of lives' was meant to refer to what he was doing now. Hope makes a concrete difference, but it's hard to estimate how much since. With 250k to malaria vaccines, you'd end up saving a lot more.