However not all times are generated within such references. Most frequently (when sampling human facing outputs) times are printed within some other reference frame. As I tried to elaborate that usually relates to political realms, and there even cities may not be a sufficiently precise specification. (Offhand E.G. would timestamps from east and west Berlin while it was divided differ? I've not memorized that trivia, but it is one example of a politically divided city.)
Further, not so many decades ago timezones along the western Americas coast happened to match, but have since diverged at times during the year due to political changes in timezone observations. It is not inconceivable that actions at a state, county, city, or other zoning level (E.G. Provences for Canada) might further change the meaning of a human friendly representation of an event (time in a place).
Would rather convert to unix at the time the event is recorded since we will be able to convert to the unix standard from whatever locale. If we store timestamps with a locale then we have to worry about the exact type of locale changes that you mentioned, and there is no guarantee that we will even know how to translate the locale that was stored at the time the TS was created. Sure, unix could change too (e.g. leap seconds), but I would be much more confident that time libraries will handle such changes
Otherwise this isn't going to be a meaningful discussion.