Those cats (or people) who make it through that crisis will gain some hard humility forever more and seem to go on for a long time after. Those who don't, well, obviously that's it. I had two big male cats back in the 90s, who being tough young males naturally once they got to 2-3 years old felt pretty confident. First of them sadly vanished and never saw him again. The second a few years later got into some fight or flight with/from something, I don't know what, but there were shrieks. But he escaped/fought and I found him. Forever after he was very careful, he'd go out the door onto the porch and whereas before he'd just instantly head off, after he'd immediately sit down and observe/listen for a good long while first. He lived to 21 years old. Another outdoor/indoor lived to 19.
It is truly hard to take the risk, but they're so much happier for it. We all reach the same end in the end, so I feel very strongly that there are limits to how far one should take "being safe". And there are good ways to massively reduce the bird issue. I love birds as well, but 3-5 caught per year when I'm feeding and support orders of magnitude more birds than that seems acceptable.
We've had no cats that lived between 3 and 16 years.
I have no idea why. To some degree you could get a sense which category a cat was in within the first year or so.
If I were to guess I think a cat will probably have a shorter life span in a city. More cars and more opportunities to get infected with diseases from other cats.