If we had a good way to pay people based on the value they add (basically solved for sales, but not for any other role), then you could construct a hiring process by betting on that value, and the most predictive interviewers would be rewarded. But until that's solved, I don't think there is a foundation for the betting. Time at the firm is the wrong metric.

> Not all science is based on experiments.

Okay, well I'm not talking about that kind of science. I'm talking about the science where the value of a theory is measured in it's ability to make testable predictions. I'm not really sure how the the other kind of scientists resolve disagreements.

I didn't claim to have solved the problem. I was outlining what I think a solution would look like, and contrasting that to the idea of peer review as the way to determine what is scientifically relevant, if we could only make it more fair.