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Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by jonknee on Monday March 19, 2012 @07:01PM (#3726797)
The iPad doesn't have to replace a computer to make a big difference in computer sales. I bet there are large numbers of people who already have computers but that aren't upgrading them like they normally would because the iPad serves their needs. Or not buying additional PCs (one for the kids for example).

The iPad is sort of like buying a scooter when you live in an urban area. If you already have a car you might not get rid of it, but you drive it a lot less and when it comes time to be replaced, its worth is now a conversation instead of a sure thing.

Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by jiggy2011 on Monday March 19, 2012 @07:15PM (#3726853)
I think this is partly because there hasn't been a compelling reason to upgrade your PC for a while unless you are really into PC games or are doing some very intensive work.

If you bought a new PC 6 years ago it probably has a dual core CPU , 2GB+ of memory , a 100GB+ HDD and some hardware accelerated graphics.

In other words enough to comfortably run Windows 7, Office, Chrome and even Photoshop.

There are still plenty of workplaces around where computers are still predominately Pentium 4s.

Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by ghshephard on Monday March 19, 2012 @11:41PM (#3727715)
In the last 8 years I've gone through three laptops (MBPro, MBPro) six phone (Palm Treo, iPhone, 3G, 3GS, 4, 4S) and three tablets (iPad, iPad 2, iPad 2012).

At work, for that entire 8 year stretch, I've done 100% of my network diagrams/power points/Boring-office-stuff on a Dell Precision 650 with a grand total of 4 GBytes of ram (That was a lot back in 2013) running (and still running) windows XP.

I think _that_ has a lot do with why AAPL is now roughly double MSFT.

Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by sounds on Monday March 19, 2012 @07:08PM (#3726824)
Good news for Linux then, right?

Linux has traditionally maintained support for older hardware - through driver support, forums to answer questions, and Linux installations that are snappy even on old hardware.

Actually, I see desktop computing (including laptops) hitting a plateau already just from being good enough (factor in Windows XP's decades-long lifetime).

Arguably if desktops are plateauing, embedded devices will follow a similar trajectory on a shorter time scale - all the hard-knock lessons are already known.

Ultimately the year of the Linux desktop won't happen - but businesses will face fast-shrinking margins for desktops, laptops, and per-seat software licenses.

Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by jonknee on Monday March 19, 2012 @10:13PM (#3727449)
Probably not. I just see people keeping with what they have--if you can't justify a new computer how can you justify learning a new OS?

The iPad is an order of magnitude more simple than OS X or Windows, which are themselves quite a bit more user friendly than Linux.

I think something like Chrome OS is a more likely business target than Linux (thin client-ish and mostly web/cloud based).

Re:Coding Horror - Welcome to the Post PC Era by sounds on Monday March 19, 2012 @11:00PM (#3727592)
Maybe my sarcasm was too subtle.

However, people do switch to Linux all the time because "Windows got too slow."