Re:All of the vehicle license plates available in America
by philwelch on Monday August 21, 2023 @09:15PM
(#37217385)
“Proportion of offenders who previously offended” is not necessarily an indication of “proportion of first-time offenders who will reoffend”.
Re:All of the vehicle license plates available in America
by actuallyalys on Monday August 21, 2023 @09:38PM
(#37217555)
That's a good point. Since it's looking at offenders and not offenses, I don't think they can diverge too much (but perhaps I'm not thinking of the math correctly). I did find a study looking at just first-time offenders, which found a similar level after five years: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3095888/figure/....
(Edit) As philwelch points out, the recidivism rate of all drunk drivers is technically different than that of first-time offenders. Accounting for this doesn't seem to wildly change the recidivism rate, though.
[0]: https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.gov/files/documents/811991...