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A comment on Probability Can Bite. Parent comment
Wouldn’t you say that the answer to the following two questions is the same?
I tell you I have two children and that (at least) one of them is a boy, and ask you what you think is the probability…
…that I have two boys.
…that I have two boys or two girls.
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Wouldn’t you say that the answer to the following two questions is the same?
I tell you I have two children and that (at least) one of them is a boy, and ask you what you think is the probability…
…that I have two boys.
…that I have two boys or two girls.