Am I reading this data correctly?:

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/scout/#/object/ZTm0038

Because it looks like today is the most probable day of impact at 10%, but there is a good 25%+ chance it will impact sometime in the next two weeks.

I would also very much like to know what the consequences of an impact might be

This paper is an interesting read:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S009457651...

Not my area of expertise, but it sounds like a deep ocean impact would not be completely catastrophic.

With only ∼1% of the asteroid kinetic energy being converted into tsunami waves and with the stronger decay with distance implies that moderate size asteroids (100–500 m in diameter) striking the deep ocean basins off the continental shelves are not a significant overall hazard...

So like a 50% chance it wouldn't be that bad. Larger asteroids would vaporize enough ocean water to cause long lasting atmospheric affects.

Otherwise, a land impact would be somewhere in the 1-100 Tsar Bomba range energy wise.

If it hit land anywhere other than Siberia or the Sahara, it would be pretty bad!

How bad is the question

Even that could be pretty bad if it turns out the object has lower Albedo than estimated. The difference between 500 meters and 1000 meters isn't all that big in terms of astronomical observations of a fast moving object and the composition is also quite uncertain and could add another factor of three or so to the potential impact. It could be very bad everywhere.

Can’t find any information on this anywhere else.

0.10% and 0.25%?

I did my part - go team

I must have put a decimal point in the wrong place or something. I always do that. I always mess up some mundane detail.