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Re:How the Recession Doomers Got the U.S. Economy So Wrong by jtaft on Thursday August 03, 2023 @11:12AM (#36987014)
Didn’t they though?

Something about two quarters consecutive quarters of negative gdp growth was the original definition, it happened, and they said recession means something else.

Re:How the Recession Doomers Got the U.S. Economy So Wrong by dragontamer on Thursday August 03, 2023 @11:18AM (#36987090)
National Bureau of Economic Research declares recessions in the USA. Always have.

If they don't say it's a recession, it isn't one.

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What is consistent is that the economists there declare recessions way too late in practice. I think they declared a recession dated in 2007 in the year 2009, when we were already recovering.

So what we have are a bunch of internet bloggers who try to call a recession before the experts. But all that happens in practice is that the bloggers call a recession every 3 months since 2010 hoping that they're correct today.

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If we are in a recession today, we will know for sure maybe next year. That's just how it works on this issue, and it's premature to call it any sooner.

Re:How the Recession Doomers Got the U.S. Economy So Wrong by dragonwriter on Thursday August 03, 2023 @11:20AM (#36987108)
> Something about two quarters consecutive quarters of negative gdp growth was the original definition

Nope, that was never the official definition, that was a convenient approximate rule of thumb.

Re:How the Recession Doomers Got the U.S. Economy So Wrong by peepeepoopoo23 on Thursday August 03, 2023 @11:21AM (#36987138)
Oceania has always been at war with Eastasia, comrade.
Re:How the Recession Doomers Got the U.S. Economy So Wrong by fnordpiglet on Thursday August 03, 2023 @11:17AM (#36987077)
When did it happen?

https://www.statista.com/statistics/188185/percent-change-fr...

“They” haven’t changed any definitions, I don’t think there’s even a “they,” and there was not a recession by any definition of recession.

The fed tried hard to induce one because of wage growth and inflation, but failed to do so. Companies in tech specifically fired a ton of people in preparation, but that doesn’t make a recession - just bad business judgement. Tech leadership has never been super sharp to begin with.