The "LTC" watermark in blue might refer to "linear timecode" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linear_timecode and I guess it's possible whatever equipment they used to embed the timestamp in the video also adds this watermark.

There is not enough liquidity. The max profit you can take from that market by betting on yes at this point is around $17,000. It probably costs something like that or more to do a convincing fake at this point.

How would it possibly cost $17k to make a shit quality video like that?

If "either get your hands on high temperature superconductors or use CGI" is on the to-do list, it's not a good project for only a $17k payoff.

Thanks so much for the link to Polymarket. I haven't seen a prediction site since Intrade.

Interesting. This market is illegal in the US yeah? Violates CFTC letter

e: Looked it up, they got fined a few million a year ago so now US users cannot bet