Extrapolating into the future then is probably going to show an even larger percentage of consumption per capita compared to the budget, and that at some point in time will result in a shortage. The people that will live through that will look back at us as the incredibly wasteful denizens of the 20th and 21st century that wasted resources on a scale that at that point in time probably will be criminal.
Sustainability is more than just a nice slogan, it is sooner or later going to be our end-game and the earlier we start doing this for real the longer the species will exist and the more comfortable the members of the species will be.
When you say that at some point in time there will be a shortage, what do you mean, exactly? A shortage of what?
The way I understand capitalism is that shortages, in a sense, don't actually exist in free markets (except temporarily if there are unexpected disruptions), because capitalism is mostly a system of allocating the resources that are available, in the most efficient way that we know of.
Or another way of thinking about it, is that there is always a shortage of almost everything, because we could always take advantage of more resources if they were available.
So what do you mean exactly?
Every resource that came as a gift with the 'bare' planet (before life began and exposed by various tectonic processes) follows these stages. So the more of nature we leave in one piece and the more we work in a sustainable manner (maximize recycling, for instance) the longer humanity will survive in a recognizable form. The only other way that I can think of is to go off-planet.
I think we're roughly on the same page. The interesting part about capitalism is that it scales fantastically, for a while and as long as the bills aren't due you can improve your standard of living and those around you considerably. But some day those bills will be presented, it can be during your generation, your kids or two or three down the line. And that's when you find out about the stewardship component. But by then it is too late. It's a study in how local optimization can cause global catastrophe.