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A comment on LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superconductor. Parent comment

Re:LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superc... by Turskarama on Monday July 31, 2023 @07:09AM (#36940960)
LK-99 is a brand new material that almost nobody knows anything about. The market is not a knowledge aggregate, it is vibes based.
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Re:LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superc... by japoco on Monday July 31, 2023 @07:38AM (#36941173)
You are severely underestimating how good vibes from a lot of people are at giving good estimates.
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Re:LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superc... by Turskarama on Monday July 31, 2023 @07:45AM (#36941221)
There has to be _some_ level of knowledge to base it off though, this is just hope.
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Re:LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superc... by evgen on Monday July 31, 2023 @08:14AM (#36941462)
They are actually only good if the members of that crowd have some sort of empirical experience with the problem they are being asked to solve. Guess the number of coins in a jar? People know coins and have experience packing things in a limited volume to the crowd has a hope of being wise. Guess an obscure materials science and physics result? Not a chance, the crowd is worthless.
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Re:LK-99: The Live Online Race for a Room-Temperature Superc... by polygamous_bat on Monday July 31, 2023 @08:14AM (#36941468)
> You are severely underestimating how good vibes from a lot of people are at giving good estimates

Anyone else remembers how people were selling and buying doge coin at 70 cents based on good vibes? No? Ok.

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