Warning of forthcoming collapse of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

Re:Warning of forthcoming collapse of Atlantic meridional ov... by retrocryptid on Tuesday July 25, 2023 @01:18PM (#36865804)

Are you comparing Stommel's Box model to Bower's recent work? I would argue the latter is more "expressive" though yes, it depends on measurements we weren't collecting in the 60s.

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Re:Warning of forthcoming collapse of Atlantic meridional ov... by oceanthrowaway on Tuesday July 25, 2023 @01:21PM (#36865862)

No I am just noting that the AMOC bistability literature is decades long.

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Re:Warning of forthcoming collapse of Atlantic meridional ov... by bhouston on Tuesday July 25, 2023 @02:22PM (#36867011)

So is the climate change literature, it stretched back decades before we had concrete evidence that it was happening. Just because something is long predicted to be a risk by experts in a field, doesn't mean its likelihood of happening goes down.

I right read about AMOC back in 1997 while in university. It was fascinating and frightening back then. Still relevant today. It would be sad if it did actually end up happening in my lifetime, but humans are notoriously bad at reacting to bad things that might happening in the future - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tragedy_of_the_commons. We tend to only really react once the bad thing has happened.

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