US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has intact alien vehicles

Re:US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has i... by osigurdson on Tuesday June 06, 2023 @09:08PM (#36221435)

We need to stop using the term “conspiracy” alone. Instead a conspiracy probability should be associated with every such theory.

As a strawman, a conspiracy which requires 10K people or more to pull it off gets assigned 0.0, while a single person conspiracy is assigned 1.0.

So anytime someone tells you about a conspiracy theory, ask them to estimate the conspiracy factor.

Examples of high conspiracy factor theory’s would be sports with a single, extremely important player (a goalie) for example since only one person needs to be corrupted.

An example of a low conspiracy factor theory would be the Moon landing as 1000s of people would need to be corrupted.

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Re:US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has i... by blowski on Wednesday June 07, 2023 @02:52AM (#36223708)

> a single person conspiracy is assigned 1.0

By definition a conspiracy involves more than one person.

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Re:US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has i... by roel_v on Wednesday June 07, 2023 @04:10AM (#36224237)

I'd argue that a 'conspiracy factor' of 1 is not a conspiracy, just like a road with an occupancy factor of 0 doesn't have any cars on it, and I presume this was exactly the point of the GP.

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Re:US urged to reveal UFO evidence after claim that it has i... by osigurdson on Wednesday June 07, 2023 @09:22AM (#36226476)

Fair, a conspiracy requiring just two people to pull it off is assigned a conspiracy factor of 1. 10K or more is assigned 0.0. Use it in conjunction with other factors to determine overall probability.

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